Thursday, September 11, 2008

Electoral Map Projection has an electoral projection using the latest prediction market data from Intrade (this map is based on data from September 9th).
The electoral map below is a forecast for the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election in which the presumptive nominees are Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama. The electoral college value for each state is shown, and the states are shaded according to the probability of a win.

Democrat: 260 [-26]
Republican: 247 [+20]
Dead Heat: 31 [+6]
Total: 538 (270 to win)
See how Intrade data compares to the polls.

Compare this map with projections from RealClearPolitics and The New York Times.

Also see a map of what political books America is reading.

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