If you'd like to add it to your blog too, just copy the code from this site.
See another electoral map here that differs in its projections slightly, but mostly agrees.
I still trust the estimates from prediction markets more than anything.
To learn more about political polls, listen to this excellent podcast where Russ Roberts interviews Doug Rivers.
Doug Rivers of Stanford University and YouGov.com talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the world of political polling. Rivers explains why publicly provided margins of error overstate the reliability of most polls and why it's getting harder and harder to do telephone polls. Rivers argues that internet panels are able to create a more representative sample. Along the way he discusses automated telephone polls, the Bradley effect, and convention bounce, and the use of exit polls in calling states in Presidential elections.
1 comment:
If there is any justice in the world Obama will win huge.
It amazes me that this contest could even be close.
With Obama you have one of the most inspiring and intelligent politicians in decades, who happens to have in temperament and judgement much of what this country is craving for right now.
There is a reason why he draws such crowds wherever he goes; he is already filling a leadership vacuum that's been empty for a while now.
In McCain, you have a someone wedded to failed policies of the past, who is waging a an increasingly negative, petty, deceptive, and juvenile campaign.
McCain and his camp seem to take pride in ignorance, as they have actually criticized Obama for such seemingly noncontroversial assertions such as suggesting that American school children would benefit by learning a second language, or suggesting that people try to conserve energy by doing simple things like keeping their tires properly inflated and their engines tuned. Both of these were smart answers to questions posed by the audience.
It's sad that the Republicans have become the know nothing party, and worse, the "I don't want to know anything" party.
McCain and his camp of Rove disciples are actually making the Clintons look like paragons of virtue in the truth department.
This campaign is in many ways about the future vs the past; Obama embodies the hope of the future, McCain is the standard bearer of the failures of the past.
And yes, in this election, it really is that simple.
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