Monday, February 04, 2008

What Prediction Markets Are Saying About Super Tuesday

Actually, this is what TradeSports is predicting for the presidential nominations, but they should be about the same. It looks like McCain has just about wrapped up the Republican nomination, while Hillary and Obama are battling it out. It could go either way for the Democrats.




Here is a map of the states who will hold primaries tomorrow:



Read more on Super Tuesday here.

1 comment:

thinking said...

The more I see these prediction markets swing back and forth in this election, the less I am impressed. It seems that these so called "prediction" markets simply follow the news.

I'd be more impressed if these markets were more stable and had a tendency to actually predict. As it is, these markets seem to be no more accurate than polling.